Less than half the spread and only half the outrights, not the best rookie performance to my predicting career with a lot of close games from underdogs surprising me, and some of the underdogs I thought had a shot rolling over.
Week 1:
Spread: 7/16
Outright: 8/16
SBOFTW: 1/1
Nevertheless, the Chargers won in a characteristic penalty-marred performance from the Raiders, meaning I’m 100% in my sure fire bets of the week. Let's concentrate on that.
Week 2
Bears +6 @ Packers
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| Bromantic. |
Another big rivalry Thursday night match up. Bears looked hot at home against a weak Colts side, whereas GB struggled against the Niners.
Form would dictate I have to take Chicago +6, but I have my reservations about ever betting on Jay Cutler.
Bears +6 (GB win)
Chiefs +3.5 @ Bills
Buffalo were a huge let down for me at the Jets, and have lost Fred Jackson already. I like the Chiefs to bounce back after capitulating in the 2nd half to a red hot Falcons offence last Sunday.
Chiefs +3.5 (and to win)
Saints -1 @ Panthers
Were NO that bad or was RG3 that good? I’m going with the latter, and the Saints to take it to their rivals in a must win game for both teams after week 1 losses. Cam Newton looked distinctly average, and had better hope it was just a blip or the pressure will be on. Such is the price of looking so good in your first year.
Saints -1
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| Brandon Weeden getting sacked by the flag. |
Browns +7 @ Bengals
Cincy had a tough time on Monday night visiting the Ravens. Welcoming the Browns will of course be far easier. The Bengals will be eager to reclaim their pride, I can see this one getting ugly.
Brown's fans had better hope Trent Richardson was just being slowed by injury or they're in for another long year.
Brown's fans had better hope Trent Richardson was just being slowed by injury or they're in for another long year.
Vikings -1 @ Colts
I like Andrew Luck to lead the Colts to victory on his debut home performance. Having said that, AP looks to be getting back to his old tricks sooner than many anticipated, and Ponder led a last minute drive close enough to grab the OT securing FG on Sunday, so this could be an interesting one.
Colts +1 (and to win)
Texans -9 @ Jaguars
Houston tore Miami a new one on Sunday, and whilst Jacksonville will provide tougher opposition in front of a home ‘crowd’, the Texans should still manage the spread.
Texans -9
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| The only good thing Ryan has ever done. |
Raiders -1 @ Dolphins
Tannehill was as bad as everyone other than the draft hype machine suspected, and the Dolphins could well be the worst team in the league this year. The Raiders on the other hand shot themselves in the foot with penalties and miscues.
Having #1 WR Moore back against the Phins should be enough for a road win if they can stay more disciplined. Here's a picture of Lauren Tannehill so you don't lose all faith in humanity thinking about how bad these two teams are.
Raiders -1
Cardinals + 13.5 @ Patriots
That is some spread. The Cardinals’ defence proved why it was underrated by holding the Seahawks close enough for Kolb to come and in beat the travelling team. There is no chance of the same happening in NE, but almost two TDs is enough breathing room for me err with the points.
Cardinals + 13.5 (Pats to win)
Buccaneers +9 @ NYG
The Buccs showed up Cam at home, and 9 points is a big enough spread for me to think they can give the Giants a run for their money after a disappointing showing from Big Blue in week 1, who looked to be suffering more than a little from a SB hangover.
Buccs +9 (Giants to win)
Ravens +1 @ Eagles
I'm not sure how the bookies can justify putting a Ravens team who just demolished a decent Bengals side as underdogs against an an Eagles side who struggled massively in an messy win over the Browns.
Clearly the Eagles have the home field advantage, but if Vick threw 4 picks against Cleveland, I can see Ed Reed matching that on his own. Flacco and his no huddle offence tore it up at the weekend, and I expect more of the same. There is always the danger the Eagles will stop dicking around and play to their on paper potential, but until that happens I'm going with the form.
Clearly the Eagles have the home field advantage, but if Vick threw 4 picks against Cleveland, I can see Ed Reed matching that on his own. Flacco and his no huddle offence tore it up at the weekend, and I expect more of the same. There is always the danger the Eagles will stop dicking around and play to their on paper potential, but until that happens I'm going with the form.
Ravens +1 (and to win)
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| All aboard the Romo-coaster. |
Cowboys -3 @ Seahawks
Seattle at home is a whole different kettle of fish to Seattle on the road, whereas the Cowboys are historically an equally inconsistent team week to week. I like the Seahawks to pull off the upset here with the help of the 12th man. A good secondary should slow down the Cowboys passing attack.
Seahawks +3 (and to win)
Redskins -3 @ Rams
The Rams shocked the league by narrowly missing out on a major upset at Detroit. On the other hand RG3 put on a near flawless performance in dominating the Saints in the Superdome. If they can show up the Saints they can certainly take care of St. Louis. Feeling very confident with this one.
Skins -3. SFBOTW!
Jets +6.5 @ Steelers
Sanchez and the Jets offence made a statement on Sunday, routing the visiting Bills. The Steelers will be a much tougher test however, and a bad start could prove fatal.
Steelers –6.5
Titans +6 @ Chargers
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| The Chargers winning the special teams battle...?! |
How long is it before we start using the 2K bit of CJ's name ironically? Locker will need to hook up with Britt, Washington and Wright early and often if they are going to outscore SD.
I won't be going with the Chargers every week - but I think they should just squeeze -6.
| Coaching the Lions would make anyone aggressively frustrated. |
Lions +6.5 @49ers
Tough one to call, but I have to go with the Niners at home after beating GB at Lambeau.
Let's hope for more post game magic like last year.
Let's hope for more post game magic like last year.
49ers -6.5
Broncos +3 @ Falcons
Another very difficult one. Matt Ryan to Julio Jones could be the pairing of the season as the Falcons offence scorched the Chiefs. On the flip side Peyton Manning is back - no doubt can be had at this point.
Home field advantage could be the swing here, but this really could go to either side.
Whoever wins it looks to light up the scoreboard. (Over/under on points is 51!)
Falcons - 3
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| Coming soon to a fantasy blow out near you. |
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