Beating the Bookies: Week 10

Another excellent week to be a gambler as the favourites almost unanimously performed to expectations. My record continues to grow more respectable, but some of this week's games look like tougher prospects. 

Week 9:

Outright = 11-3
Spread = 10-4
SFBOTW = 1-0

Overall:

Outright = 71-62
Spread = 72-61
SFBOTW = 4-5

Colts @ Jags +3

The Colts and Luck are much better at home, but this is still another very winnable game on a smooth schedule.

Colts -3 

Chargers @ Buccs -3

The Chargers have struggled to beat good sides this year, but the Buccs are not a good side yet... I'm going to back my team, but know this one could be rockier than Norv's face. I'll justify my decision with the Bolt's top 5 run defense.

Chargers +3 (and to win)

Raiders @ Ravens -7.5

The Ravens struggled at times versus the Browns but pulled away in the 4th. I don't see a potentially D-Macless Oakland side causing too many problems in Baltimore.

Ravens -7.5 

Broncos @ Panthers +4

Carolina finally played to their potential and grabbed a big win over the Skins. However Manning and the Broncos will be a bridge too far for the Panthers, even at home.

Broncos -4 

Giants @ Bengals +4 

The Bengals face another tough home game, and whilst the Giants just lost out to the Steelers they should Cruz past Cincy here.

Giants -4 

Power rankings: visual aid edition

Titans @ Dolphins -6

The Titans have been very pedestrian this year, and whilst they are clearly the worse of these two, 6 points is enough for me to bank on when typically Miami's games have been tight this season.

Titans +6 (Dolphins to win)

Lions @ Vikings +1

A resurgent Detroit vs a staggering Minnesota at a negligible spread? I'll take the visitors, although AP is every bit the beast he used to be and could well cause problems.

Lions -1

Bills @ Pats -11

11 points is a large spread, especially in a divisional game. The Pats haven't, generally speaking, been blowing teams out this year so I'll take the points.

Bills +11 (Pats to win)

Falcons @ Saints +1

Really scratching my head on the one point spread here. Arguably the best team in the league deserves more respect even away from home. Sure, the Saints just beat the Eagles (who suck) and aren't as bad as their record suggests... but even so their defence is going to get torched by Jones, White and the rest.

Falcons -1 SFBOTW!!!

Cool. Cool cool cool.

Jets @ Seahawks -6.5

Quite a tough one as 6.5 is a large spread when both teams run conservative ground attacks. However after seeing off the more talented Vikings the Hawks should repeat vs the Jets. 

Seahawks -6.5 

Cowboys @ Eagles -1

The Eagles shot themselves in the foot once more with a failure to convert in the red zone. This is a team in disarray, and whilst the Cowboys aren't much better they should have enough to twist the knife.

Cowboys +1 (and to win)

Let's hope whoever wins the election has a good unemployment plan.

Rams @ 49ers -11

Another big spread, and with both teams fresh off the bye I like this to be just close enough. 

Rams +11 (49ers win)

Texans @ Bears -1

Powerhouse match up here, but I think the Texans are the more complete team. The Bears defence, especially the secondary, is playing out of their skins but J.J. Watt should get very personal with Cutler. It'll be a great one to watch, and I think the Texans will prevail.

Texans +1 (and to win)

Hilarious Cutler pics basically find themselves.

Chiefs @ Steelers -11.5

Kansas are without a doubt the worst team in the league this year, especially offensively. The Steelers at home coming off a big win should knock them out of the park.

Steelers -11.5


I'll leave you with Smith celebrating my most profitable week yet: 

Until next time,

Tommy.

*All odds accurate as of 6/11/12 via Yahoo's "Sportacular" app.*